We talk about major threats to security, mainly focussed on future threats and the reaction from security services. Some keywords are: Nuclear proliferation, robotic warfare, technology regulation, surveillance state, bioterrorism, and omniviolence. Subscribe Pocket Casts Spotify Stitcher Apple Podcasts Overcast Google Podcasts PlayerFM YouTube Show Notes Section I Future of Security Introduction: Emotional Reach, Classifying the Population, Keeping the Legitimacy 00:02:16 Crimes that really matter: How do security forces select the crimes they battle against, which ones are ignored. 00:02:33 Limitations of Crimefighting: War on drugs is ongoing, street robberies, etc. 00:03:30 State is focussing on crimes that risk itself, and on high public image. 00:04:30 Public percerption is high when public can identify and empathize with the victim (child abuse, burglary). 00:05:45 Germany: First case of predictive policing was burglary. 00:07:40 The victim matters / vulnerability: People do react less with assault of a 20-30 year old man, than with the elderly, women, or children. 00:09:13 Child porn is the universal crime where everybody gets behind the police, …and that is used for higher surveillance. Child pornography is the abdomination of the 21st century. 00:10:15 A lot of murder, a lot of kidnapping, a lot of burglaries etc, undermindes the belief in the state. Other crimes do not affect the trust so much, i.e. insurance fraud. Nobody’s sorry about big corporations being scammed. Systemic Risk Categories: Crimes That Matter First Example 00:11:34 First Example: Proliferation. Atomic weapon possession divide Good states from Bad States. 00:12:05 BND (Bundesnachrichtendienst) and Proliferation. 00:12:30 Enemy States cooperated at the fall of Soviet Block and UdSSR, because of Proliferation. 00:15:20 Blind field of Proliferation: Smuggling of Nuclear Material, Technology, Warheads. Sensor Networks to detect nuclear material (isotope scanners). 00:17:40 Rumors: Unofficial and missing warhead counts (former Soviet, US, Plane incidents over Mediterrean Sea). 00:20:04 Rumors: Cold War Soviet Union Sleeper Agents with Suitcase Bombs (not all recovered). 00:22:00 Small States profit from deterrent threat of Warheads, less likely to actually use them (cannot be retrieved). 00:22:50 Terrorist Organizations and Warheads: rely on secure territory (hollowed out state): Iran, Afghanistan, Mexico. 00:24:07 Example: Afghanistan tolerating Al-Qaeda and 9/11. 00:25:15 Just having the device doesn’t mean you’re able to trigger it: where is it from, maintenance, deploy (actors who follow through, reliable remote triggers), maybe a lot of the old warheads are not usable (physical trigger method is lost). Second Example